Seton Hall seeks upset of Big East leader Villanova

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

02/02/2010 - Villanova, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Big East Conference foes collide tonight, as the second-ranked Villanova Wildcats host the Seton Hall Pirates at The Pavilion.

Seton Hall is a solid 12-7 overall, but that record is overshadowed a bit by a 3-5 league mark. The Pirates carried a two-game win streak into last Thursday's matchup with South Florida and were in great position to extend that streak, but the result was a heart-breaking 76-74 overtime loss to the Bulls.

Villanova opened this season with nine consecutive victories before finally falling to Philadelphia-area rival Temple. The Wildcats haven't lost since that setback, as they have ripped off 10 consecutive wins to move to 19-1 overall and 8-0 in league action. The most recent triumph occurred last week over Notre Dame by a 90-72 final, the club's third straight double-digit triumph.

Villanova owns a commanding 60-36 series lead over Seton Hall, which includes seven straight wins over the Pirates.

Jeremy Hazell remains somewhat anonymous to most casual college basketball fans, but the Seton Hall standout is one of the Big East's most productive scorers. Hazell is netting 22.5 ppg and has 37 steals to his credit. Herb Pope is the only other double-digit scorer in the fold, as he checks in with 12.3 ppg and 11.4 rpg. Pope has also blocked 34 shots, over one-third of the team's total. While Seton Hall is generating 82.8 ppg, the team is limiting opponents to 73.6 ppg on 41.6 percent shooting. In the tough loss to USF last time out, Hazell finished with 28 points. Robert Mitchell netted 11 points and Keon Lawrence contributed 10 points for the Pirates, who got 17 rebounds from Pope. Unfortunately, a 25-11 disadvantage in points from the foul line proved costly.

Scottie Reynolds continues to lead Villanova in scoring with 18.7 ppg, as he is one of two players on the roster that has started all 20 games. The other is Corey Fisher, who provides 13.3 ppg and 86 assists. As for Antonio Pena, the third and final double-digit scorer in the fold for the Wildcats, he generates 10.9 ppg and 7.6 rpg. Villanova is racking up 85.2 ppg, and the club is limiting opponents to 70.5 ppg on 39.7 percent shooting. Reynolds and Fisher scored 17 points apiece in the romp over Notre Dame last time out, and Pena provided 14 points and 10 rebounds. The Wildcats led that game by just one point at intermission, but 51.7 percent shooting from the field in the second half and a 15-of-17 effort from the foul line over the final 20 minutes proved to be key.

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Betting the NFL preseason

Rule No. 1 in the gamblers' handbook states, "Avoid sports betting on meaningless games."

When you're drowning in a sea of baseball monotony, however, things change. Even a hint of pro football betting can persuade the most disciplined bettor to break a few rules. 

The NFL preseason is around the corner, with a tempting Hall of Fame match kicking off on Sunday. But bettors must stay vigilant. Wagering on NFL exhibition games is an entirely different beast than the regular season. Most fans don't recognize the players on the field because starters get as much action in August as Warcraft fans get on Prom night.

The only certainty about the NFL this time of year is uncertainty – and yet there are some who say betting in August can be a gold mine.

“I actually feel the NFL preseason presents solid profit opportunities for sharp bettors and handicappers,” Sports Expert Steve Merril explains. “My experience has been that the sportsbooks fear the preseason, which is evident by lower limits and massive moves.”

The line moves are attributed to the limited knowledge available regarding playing-time distribution. One team’s top unit out on the field for one more series has an impact on the pointspread. Setting lines in the preseason often is a shot in the dark.

“We base the betting lines mostly on public perception,” Pete Korner, founder of the Sports Club in Las Vegas, says. “It’s very tough to predict, almost a guessing game.”

The preseason is all about figuring out who’s in and for how long.

“It becomes a race between bettors and oddsmakers to find out how long the quarterbacks are going to stay in,” Korner admits. “If a sharp gets the information first, he could exploit an early line. I’m a full believer in moving the line in the preseason if the books find out something late in the week.”

Determining what each team’s motive is can help bettors handicap. To do this you must pay close attention to the philosophies head coaches employ in exhibition play.

“You need to know what a coach is trying to accomplish,” says Covers Expert Bryan Leonard. “Sometimes a new coach will want to instill a winning attitude. Others just want to make sure their starters don’t get hurt."

So how do you distinguish who’s playing scared and who’s playing for keeps?

“Head coaches on the hot seat or new coaches trying to implement a winning attitude usually try harder to win in the preseason,” Merril says.

Cleveland Browns head coach Romeo Crennel fits this criteria. He’s entering his third season as the sideline boss and has yet to lead the Browns to more than six wins.

Cleveland is an enticing bet as well because of the unresolved quarterback situation. General manager Phil Savage sacrificed the Browns’ first-round pick in next year’s draft for Brady Quinn, but the former Notre Dame quarterback hasn’t signed or reported to training camp yet.

Charlie Frye and Derek Anderson split time at QB last season and it looks like either player (or even Quinn) could be the opening-day starter.

“If a team has quarterback depth and the pecking order hasn’t been decided, it’s a big advantage,” Leonard says.

Even in the third week of the preseason when starters generally play the most, the final outcome of the game is in the hands of fringe players. A team's talent, all the way down to the last man on the roster, is something to consider.

The New England Patriots have long been considered one of the deeper teams in the NFL and coach Bill Belichick has said in the past he’s unafraid of stars getting hurt in games with nothing on the line. He shocked his colleagues in 2003 by playing some of his starters on special teams in the preseason.

“We want to have the team ready to play a tough, physical game and preparation has to go into that and I imagine a certain amount of injuries go with it,” Belichick told the Providence Journal in August 2003.

Bettors can only hope to find more teams that share the Pats' business-like approach to the preseason (New England is 17-9-3 against the spread since 2000) and take advantage of teams who detest the exhibition schedule.

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